Texas Leads U.S. Population Growth Projections For 2024

New data was released highlighting population trends across all U.S. states, with projections estimating how large each state's population could grow by 2100. Texas is leading the nation in population growth.

Texas is forecasted to experience the largest population boom, nearing 98 million by 2100. With a steady annual growth rate of 1.3%, the Lone Star State is fueled by high net migration, strong birth rates and a thriving economy. 

"Texas' economic attractiveness, combined with its vast expanses of land and relatively lower cost of living, will continue to draw people in,” said Karl Graham, a demographic expert at Click Storage, who dissected the data.

Additional data from the Texas Comptroller shows that from 2012 to 2022, Texas' population expanded by 15.1%, more than twice the national growth rate of 6.2%. In 2022 alone, Texas added nearly 471,000 residents, the highest of any state. 

Eleven of Texas' 12 economic regions saw net population growth, with the Capital region leading at 30.9%, followed by North Texas (19.3%), Gulf Coast (18.4%), Alamo (16.8%), and Central Texas (13.2%) regions.

The Texas Demographic Center estimates the state's population will reach between 36 and 44 million by 2060. State agencies also predict that by 2050, Texas will surpass California as the most populous state, with 44.4 million residents compared to California's projected 39.5 million.

Local Profile previously reported that Collin County alone could double its population by 2060. Projections show that since 2020, Anna's population grew by 52%, Celina by 97%, Melissa by 51%, Princeton by 55% and Van Alstyne by 51%. By 2060, Collin County is expected to house 2,438,008 residents, a significant jump from the 1,168,395 projected for 2024.

Population estimates reveal that from 2016 to 2021, Collin County experienced the largest growth among the seven counties in North Texas, adding over 100,000 residents.

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